January 8, 2008
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New Hampshire primary today!
CNN has projected John McCain as the winner for the Republicans, right now at 37% of the vote. Mitt Romney is in second with 29%, and Mike Huckabee has 12%. McCain was all but done in many peoples’ eyes (including mine), but he went all out for New Hampshire and has made one hell of a comeback. He is definitely back in this race. Romney has come in second AGAIN, in a state that is a northern neighbor of Massachusetts (where he used to be governor). Michigan is the next one to watch, because McCain won Michigan back in 2000, but that is also Romney’s home state. That could be a very interesting one to watch for the Republicans. Don’t be discouraged, all you Huckabee supporters; even though he only won 12% tonight, that isn’t too shabby. McCain beat Bush in New Hampshire in 2000, and Romney is from Massachusetts, so it only makes sense that they would take a lot of the vote. Plus, Huckabee won Iowa, and although that is not an official primary, it is still big. The South Carolina primary is also coming up, and many people think Huckabee may win there. Romney is definitely in the most dire straits right now, in my mind, because he can’t seem to win anywhere. If he can’t win in South Carolina or Michigan, he will be in serious trouble.
On the Democratic side, it is a pretty close race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Hillary is leading with 40% of the vote to Obama’s 36% at the moment, but there are still a lot of votes to count. I haven’t seen any projections as of yet for the Democrats, but only 21% of the vote has been counted. CNN was comparing the counties each candidate is presently winning to who won in 2004. Right now, Hillary is winning the counties that John Kerry won, and Obama is winning the counties that Howard Dean won. John Kerry won New Hampshire in 2004, so if this continues on the same pattern Hillary will win New Hampshire in 2008. Edwards is sitting in a solid third with 17%. So which first is it going to be? Are we going to have our first female presidential candidate or our first African-American presidential candidate? We have had a female vice-presidential candidate before, Geraldine Ferraro who ran with Walter Mondale back in 1984 (and lost in a landslide to Ronald Reagan – they only won Minnesota and D.C.), but never presidential for either.
Keep an eye on those races. Next Tuesday is Super Tuesday, a day in which 24 states (including Missouri) will be having primaries. Big day to watch, and I will be here to keep you updated on all the happenings.
EDIT: Super Tuesday is February 5. I don’t know why I said next Tuesday, because I knew it was February 5. Michigan is next Tuesday, so that is probably what I was thinking. Nevada is January 19, as is the Republican South Carolina primary, and then the Democratic South Carolina primary is January 26. Florida is the last primary in January on the 29th.
Also something to add, Democratic hopeful Bill Richardson has dropped out of the race today (Wednesday).
Comments (2)
Thanks George : )
What a difference a day makes; who would’ve thought Hillary would win last night? Everyone was suggesting her campaign was over. Now she’s the front-runner again. And who knows about the Republicans? Romney and Guiliani were the solid Republican leaders, but neither has won a state yet (I don’t count Wyoming). Maybe S. Carolina will sort some things out. Thompson will probably quit if he doesn’t win there, and his votes could help another candidate. I’ve never seen a race like this.